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Old 01-01-2008, 12:13 PM
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Default Murder Rate is... Down!

The murder rate for Philadelphia actually dropped in 2007.

In 2007, we had a total of 392 murders.
In 2006, we had a total of 406 murders.

It isn't much, but it is a start.

http://www.pennlive.com/newsflash/pa...storylist=penn
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Old 01-01-2008, 10:16 PM
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Hopefully it will keep trending in that direction. Lord only knows what 2008 number will be.
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Old 01-02-2008, 12:18 AM
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Hopefully it will keep trending in that direction. Lord only knows what 2008 number will be.
15...

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Old 01-02-2008, 12:21 AM
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Larry, if you're going to start a thread about the murder rate being down, you might want to tell us what the murder rate was in 2007 and 2006. This would help illustrate your point.
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Old 01-02-2008, 06:43 PM
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Hopefully it will keep trending in that direction. Lord only knows what 2008 number will be.
The trend is in the right direction, but would love for it to accelerate. this rate is too slow... similar to the awesomely slow rate of BPT tax reduction.

At this rate, it will take a long time before it is controlled and not considered out of line with national averages.
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Old 01-02-2008, 06:59 PM
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The trend is in the right direction, but would love for it to accelerate. this rate is too slow... similar to the awesomely slow rate of BPT tax reduction.

At this rate, it will take a long time before it is controlled and not considered out of line with national averages.
A difference of 14 from one year to the next, about a 3.5% reduction is not a trend, it's a statistical anomaly.
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Old 01-02-2008, 07:46 PM
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a third or a fourth datapoint would make it a trend. If '04 and '05 numbers were also meeting the downward slope, however flat, it would be encouraging (a little, but also frustrating because it would confirm the slow pace). But you're right, this is nothing to write home about.
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Old 01-02-2008, 08:30 PM
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How much wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth would there be on this site if that number had gone up by 14, instead of down?

Statistical blip my uncle lou!
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Old 01-02-2008, 11:21 PM
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I thought Larry was going to post that it was down due to his pressuring of City Hall.
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Old 01-03-2008, 11:14 AM
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How much wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth would there be on this site if that number had gone up by 14, instead of down?

Statistical blip my uncle lou!
Just because people tend to overreact to the negative is no reason to overreact to a positive, your uncle lou not withstanding.
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